There are no sure things on Wall Street, but this historical statistic certainly gets your attention: since 1950, the S&P 500 has been higher 12 months after every U.S. midterm election, a perfect 19 for 19, with an average gain of roughly 15%. Of course, past performance does not guarantee future results, and every election cycle arrives with its own mix of interest rates, inflation, corporate earnings, and economic uncertainty. Still, there’s something intriguing about a batting average of 1.000. Or perhaps hockey legend Wayne Gretzky said it better: “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take.” As we head toward another midterm election, history reminds us that markets have previously moved beyond the political uncertainty and refocused on the fundamentals. The puck is about to drop on another post-midterm period, but whether this remarkable streak becomes 20 for 20 remains to be seen. [am.jpmorgan.com], [ndtvprofit.com]

Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management, “How do markets perform post-midterms?”, October 7, 2026. [am.jpmorgan.com]

Past performance does not guarantee future results. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index and cannot be invested directly. This commentary is provided for informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal.

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By: Mike Verminski
Title: Alone with My Thoughts – 10/30/26
Sourced From: dollarinvestmentclub.com/blog/midterm-elections-stock-market-history/
Published Date: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 16:05:17 +0000

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