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Fertilizers are becoming increasingly important in order to feed a growing population. Fertilizers improve the farming process by making it more efficient and increasing production output. In 2020, the fertilizer market was worth about $83.5 billion. But, by 2027, experts expect it to reach $93.9 billion. On top of that, two other factors are squeezing the price of fertilizer upward. While this isn’t ideal for consumers, it could mean outsized for the best fertilizer stocks.
What’s Causing the Fertilizer Squeeze?
Over the past two years, the COVID-19 pandemic has damaged supply chains around the world. Quarantine lockdowns have it more difficult to produce everything from iPhones to Ford F-150s. This also includes industrial products, such as fertilizers.
Global fertilizer supply chains are critical for helping producers get food products to end consumers. When different countries were forced to quarantine due to COVID-19, supply chains around the globe were disrupted. For example, China is one of the biggest exporters of fertilizers to the United States. China has also instituted some of the strictest quarantines during the pandemic. In many cases, these quarantines lasted for months. These shutdowns in China have restricted the flow of fertilizer into the U.S. This makes it harder for U.S. food producers to feed the U.S. population.
On top of that, the Russia/Ukraine conflict is also contributing to higher fertilizer prices. First, the war is pushing up the price of natural gas. Natural gas is one of the main ingredients in most fertilizers. This price increase for gas makes it more expensive to produce fertilizer. On top of that, many countries have instituted sanctions against Russia. Guess who is one of the world’s biggest exporters of fertilizer? That’s right, Russia. This means that one of the world’s biggest supplies of fertilizer is being cut off.
This perfect storm of events is helping to squeeze the price of fertilizer. With this in mind, there’s a chance that fertilizer producers could experience record profits in the months ahead. Now, let’s take a look at the three best fertilizer stocks to buy.
List of The Best Fertilizer Stocks for 2022
No. 3 Nutrien (TSE: NTR)
Canada-based Nutrien is the largest producer of potash in the world. It’s also the third-largest producer of nitrogen fertilizer in the world. The biggest reason that Nutrien is one of the best fertilizer stocks is that the management is incredibly forward-thinking.
Nutrien’s management believes that the industry struggles will persist well past 2022. For this reason, it is making strategic moves to continue providing value to shareholders. It plans to do this by reducing debt, buying back shares, and paying dividends. In 2021, Nutrien reduced the debt on its balance sheet by $2.1 billion. It also plans to repurchase $4 billion worth of shares during the year. On top of that, Nutrien expects to pay another $1 billion to investors via dividends.
Essentially, Nutrien knows that the road ahead will be tough. It could take another year or longer for the global market to return to normal. To compensate, Nutrien is battening down the hatches. It is strategically allocating its capital (AKA reducing debt) and ensuring that shareholders will continue to receive value via dividends and stock buybacks.
These moves could help Nutrien be one of the best fertilizer stocks to own in 2022. It’s already off to a good start as its stock is up over 20% so far this year. This is while the broader market is down nearly 20%.
Nutrien also recently posted a record year in 2021. It reported annual revenue of $26.86 billion, which was up 33.95% year over year. It also reported a net income of $3.15 billion, which was up 586% year over year.
No. 2 CVR Partners (NYSE: UAN)
Today’s markets are incredibly hard to predict. For example, there is no telling how long the Russia/Ukraine conflict will persist. It’s also impossible to tell if COVID-19 is finally gone or if another variant is around the corner. The outcome of these scenarios has the power to send fertilizer stocks flying either up or down. In this type of environment, it makes a lot of sense to go with the safer option. CVR Partners is that safer option.
The main reason that CVR Partners is one of the best fertilizer stocks is due to its dividend. It pays a whopping 10.24% dividend yield. This basically means that investors can expect to earn 10% annually via dividends, regardless of where the stock moves. In a market like this, 10% almost automatically qualifies CVR partners as one of the best fertilizer stocks.
Additionally, CVR Partners just posted a record Q2 2022. It reported quarterly revenue of $222.87 million, which was up 265% YoY. It also reported a net income of $93.66 million, up 468% YoY. With a revenue of just $222.87 million, CVR is one of the smaller players in the industry. However, it’s clearly doing this right as its stock is up nearly 40% so far in 2022.
Best Fertilizer Stocks No. 1 Intrepid Potash (NYSE: IPI)
Intrepid Potash is the only U.S. producer of muriate of potash. In the wake of COVID-19, companies and nations are starting to realize the risks of globalization. In fact, Larry Fink of BlackRock has even stated that globalization is on the decline. If this happens, companies will start hunting for more local sources of fertilizer. When that happens, they will likely turn to Intrepid Potash.
Despite tough Q1 conditions, Intrepid Potash was still able to deliver impressive results. It posted an adjusted EBITDA of $50 million, which was its best since Q3 2012. It also ended the quarter with $60 million in cash and no debt.
Please remember that I’m not a financial advisor and am just offering my own research and commentary. As usual, please base all investment decisions on your own due diligence.
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The post Playing The Fertilizer Squeeze: The 3 Best Fertilizer Stocks to Buy appeared first on Investment U.
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By: Teddy Stavetski
Title: Playing The Fertilizer Squeeze: The 3 Best Fertilizer Stocks to Buy
Sourced From: investmentu.com/best-fertilizer-stocks/
Published Date: Mon, 13 Jun 2022 13:08:33 +0000
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